UPDATE, with predictions revealed!
Here’s what I wrote to myself in an email dated January 31 (Sunday night) at 5:41 p.m. I was right about Iowa, if only by a hair in the Democratic caucus:
Cruz wins Iowa Caucus but it doesn’t matter in the long run; he doesn’t get the nomination.
Trump comes in #2 in Iowa, wins NH. No prediction as to whether he will win the nomination.
Clinton wins Iowa, loses NH, wins SC and Super Tuesday and gets the nomination.
That crazy state that’s now smaller, population-wise, than Colorado is having its outsized say in the 2016 presidential campaign again. Until the Democrats decide to have their first primary–not a fundamentally anti-democratic (small-d) caucus–in a state that reflects their demographics, we can enjoy never seeing eye-to-eye with Ioway.
So, what the heck? You’re welcome. I’ve emailed my predictions to myself so I have a time- and date-stamped record of my hopes and delusions for tonight’s dog-and-pony show.