Remember all of those calls eight years ago for Hillary Clinton to drop out of the Democratic nomination fight in the midst of the March primaries? Remember all of those Brobama dudez screaming “the math! The math! Just look at The Math!” And why was the b*tch insisting on peeing in the punchbowl when all of the kool kidz just wanted to party on down and let Barack Obama turn his attention to the general election?
Yeah, well: I’m not going to return the favor. But just for once, could we take a look at The Math in 2016, courtesy of Philip Bump? It turns out that Clinton has a +206 earned delegate lead (that’s just counting the delegates she’s earned in the primaries and caucuses so far, not any of the superdelegates). By comparison to this point in 2008, Obama had only a +90 delegate lead.
Bump notes that many of Sanders’ victories have come from states with open primaries. That’s not a bad thing, but it certainly makes it clear that Democrats are more interested in supporting the Democratic candidate, not someone who only recently became a Democrat because he feared that remaining Independent would cut him off from money and media attention. As Bump concludes, “The two parties’ nomination contests look very different over the long term, even though they’re close right now: Clinton’s lead is much less vulnerable than Donald Trump’s.”
Here’s the pretty picture that makes it all so clear: